Kinnaj asks:

When will the US publicly acknowledge that it executed a military strike against a ground target within the territory of Mexico?

Started Jan 03, 2025 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC

Mexican officials have voiced concerns that Trump may order military strikes against drug cartels in the country in his second term (Yahoo [Reuters], MSN [Wall Street Journal], El País). "Stray" bullets or ordinance that hit an unintended target after being fired would not count. Both the strike and acknowledgement must occur during the question's open period to count and will close upon the acknowledgement. Targets in territorial waters will not count. Accidents, such as stray ordinance falling onto Mexican territory, will not count.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours
Before 1 July 2025 5.00% +2.00%
Between 1 July 2025 and 31 December 2025 6.00% +2.00%
Not before 1 January 2026 89.00% -4.00%

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