As the US continues to produce crude oil at record levels, Donald Trump is expected to push for greater production in his second term (US News & World Report, Yahoo [Bloomberg], EIA - Short-Term Energy Outlook December 2024). The outcome will be determined using the "4-Week Avg U.S. Field Production of Crude Oil" data (which is displayed in thousands of barrels per day by week "End Date") as reported by the Energy Information Administration (EIA) (EIA).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.