SpaceX is expected to ramp up Starship launches in 2025 (Space.com, Space Explored, SpaceX - Starship). A launch will be considered successful upon a successful first stage separation (YouTube).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.