Who will win a New York City (NYC) Democratic primary election for mayor in 2025?
Started
Jan 17, 2025 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 24, 2025 07:01AM UTC
Closing Jun 24, 2025 07:01AM UTC
Challenges
The race for mayor of NYC is heating up as incumbent Mayor Eric Adams faces corruption charges (City and State New York, Newsweek, Politico). The primary elections for NYC mayor are scheduled for 24 June 2025 (NYC Campaign Finance Board).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours |
---|---|---|
Eric Adams | 15.88% | -0.12% |
Andrew Cuomo | 39.13% | -4.87% |
Letitia James | 13.88% | +0.17% |
Brad Lander | 5.75% | +0.61% |
Zohran Mamdani | 3.25% | +0.25% |
Zellnor Myrie | 0.63% | +0.63% |
Christine Quinn | 0.38% | +0.38% |
Jessica Ramos | 3.38% | +0.52% |
Scott Stringer | 4.88% | +0.02% |
Jumaane Williams | 3.13% | +3.13% |
Someone else | 9.75% | -0.68% |