J-Z asks:
What percentage of all actively managed domestic US equity funds will underperform the S&P Composite 1500 index for the first half of 2025?
Closing Jul 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC
S&P Indices versus Active (SPIVA) scorecards are reports published by S&P Global that track the relative performance of actively managed funds as compared to S&P indices (S&P Global, Investopedia - Active Management). The question will be suspended on 30 June 2025 and the outcome determined using the S&P Dow Jones Indices' SPIVA Global Scorecard, expected late in the third quarter of 2025. For the first half of 2024, 76.56% of all domestic US equity funds underperformed the S&P Composite 1500 index (SPIVA Global Scorecard Mid-Year 2024, see "All Domestic Funds" under "U.S. Equities" on page 19).
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 35.00% | 0.06% | 0% |
| At least 35.00%, but less than 50.00% | 10.31% | +0.31% |
| At least 50.00%, but less than 65.00% | 34.44% | +4.62% |
| At least 65.00%, but less than 80.00% | 44.19% | -4.75% |
| 80.00% or more | 11.00% | -0.18% |