Who will win the 2025 Oscar for Best Actor?
Started
Jan 23, 2025 05:00PM
Closed Mar 2, 2025 08:01AM (12 days ago)
Closed Mar 2, 2025 08:01AM (12 days ago)
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The 97th Academy Awards, known as the Oscars, are scheduled for 2 March 2025 (Oscars, NPR). In the event of a tie, the film with the higher box office total through and including 2 March 2025 according to Box Office Mojo would be deemed the winner.
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The question closed "Adrien Brody (The Brutalist)" with a closing date of 2 March 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Adrien Brody (The Brutalist) | 59% | |
| Timothée Chalamet (A Complete Unknown) | 36% | |
| Colman Domingo (Sing Sing) | 0% | |
| Ralph Fiennes (Conclave) | 4% | |
| Sebastian Stan (The Apprentice) | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 35 |
| Average for questions in their first 3 months: 127 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 90 |
| Average for questions in their first 3 months: 293 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time
- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - Jan 23, 2025 11:26AM PST (38 days before close, question was 0% complete)