Will Russia officially recognize the Autonomous Territorial Unit of Gagauzia (Gagauzia) in Moldova as an independent state or otherwise as not a part of the Republic of Moldova before 22 December 2025?
Started
Jan 24, 2025 06:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 22, 2025 08:01AM UTC
Closing Dec 22, 2025 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
As Russia's war in Ukraine continues, concerns continue that Russia may foment unrest in Moldova by recognizing Gagauzia, an autonomous region in the country's south (Deutsche Welle, IPN Press Agency, Trends Research, GIS).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.