At close of business on 20 March 2025, will the most recently announced Bank of England (BoE) "Bank Rate" be lower, the same, or higher than it was at close of business on 6 February 2025?

Started Jan 24, 2025 06:00PM
Closed Mar 20, 2025 07:01AM (a month ago)

The BoE's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) sets the Bank Rate, the interest paid to commercial banks that hold money with the BoE (Bank of England - Bank Rate). As of the launch of this question, the MPC's March 2025 monetary policy meeting announcement is scheduled for 20 March 2025, and its most recently announced Bank Rate was 4.75% (Bank of England - Monetary Policy Summary, December 2024, Bank of England - Monetary Policy Committee Calendar). If the BoE announces a range, the question will close using the midpoint of the stated range (e.g., an announced range of 2.00% and 2.25% would close based on 2.125%). The date the change will take effect is immaterial.

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The question closed "Same" with a closing date of 20 March 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Lower 1%
Same 98%
Higher 1%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 27
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 126
Number of Forecasts 92
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 289
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.167533
2.
-0.161002
3.
-0.150078
4.
-0.140829
5.
-0.069353

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - Jan 24, 2025 10:44AM PST (55 days before close, question was 0% complete)
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