The Monkey Cage asks
Will a border adjustment tax be passed by the U.S. Senate or House of Representatives before 30 April 2017?
Started
Feb 03, 2017 06:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 30, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 30, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Challenges
In a June 2016 tax reform blueprint, House Republicans proposed a “border adjustment tax,” a tax levied on imported goods (Forbes). Such a tax is supported by House Speaker Paul Ryan, among others , but has been criticized by President Trump and other leaders (CNBC, Bloomberg, Forbes). A border adjustment tax on specific countries or industries will count. The tax does not need to take effect or become law for a "yes” resolution.
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This question was closed as "no" with an end date of 29 April 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
If you liked this question, you might also enjoy forecasting on whether Russia and Cuba will announce the reopening of the Lourdes Signals Intelligence Center or on whether the U.S. provide notice of intent to withdraw from NAFTA.
This question was closed as "no" with an end date of 29 April 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
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Yes | 0% | |
No | 100.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 470 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
Number of Forecasts | 925 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |