How many acres will be consumed by reported wildfires in the US in 2025?
Started
Jan 31, 2025 06:00PM
Closing Jan 1, 2026 08:01AM (in 10 months)
Closing Jan 1, 2026 08:01AM (in 10 months)
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After a relatively quiet wildfire season in 2023, wildfires burned nearly 9 million acres in 2024 (Newsweek, NOAA, NIFC - Outlooks). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2025 and the outcome determined using data as first released by the National Interagency Fire Center (NIFC) (NIFC - National Fire News, NIFC - Statistics, see Wildland Fire Summaries). In 2023, reported wildfires consumed 2,693,910 acres in the US (NIFC Wildland Fire Summary and Statistics Annual Report 2023, NIFC - Wildfires and Acres).
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 3.0 million | 2.40% | 0% | -0.40% | +0.20% |
| At least 3.0 million, but fewer than 4.0 million | 2.80% | 0% | -0.60% | -0.30% |
| At least 4.0 million, but fewer than 5.0 million | 3.90% | 0% | -1.30% | -0.50% |
| At least 5.0 million, but fewer than 6.0 million | 5.80% | 0% | -0.90% | -1.40% |
| At least 6.0 million, but fewer than 7.5 million | 10.60% | -1.00% | -2.50% | -4.60% |
| At least 7.5 million, but fewer than 9.0 million | 35.00% | +1.00% | +8.80% | +10.70% |
| At least 9.0 million, but fewer than 11.0 million | 29.50% | 0% | -0.80% | -4.10% |
| At least 11.0 million, but fewer than 13.0 million | 5.70% | 0% | -1.50% | 0% |
| 13.0 million or more | 4.30% | 0% | -0.80% | 0% |