How many hectares (ha) will be consumed by wildfires in Canada in 2025?
Closing Jan 1, 2026 08:01AM (in 10 months)
Canada had its worst wildfire season on record in 2023, and fires in 2024 were above normal (CBC). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2025 and the outcome determined using data as first released by the Canadian Interagency Forest Fire Centre (CIFFC) in its "Canada Report" for 2025, expected in early 2026 (CIFFC - Annual Reports). In 2023, wildland fires consumed 17,203,625 hectares in Canada (CIFFC - Canada Report 2023, see page 17 of the file). A "hectare" is a metric unit of measure for area equivalent to 2.471 acres (Britannica - Hectare). Additional periodic data are available from CIFFC (CIFFC National Fire Situation Report).
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 2.0 million | 20.22% | +2.22% | +2.22% | +12.22% |
| At least 2.0 million, but fewer than 4.0 million | 19.00% | 0% | 0% | -2.57% |
| At least 4.0 million, but fewer than 6.0 million | 22.56% | -1.44% | -1.44% | -10.15% |
| At least 6.0 million, but fewer than 8.0 million | 23.33% | +0.33% | +0.33% | +7.47% |
| At least 8.0 million, but fewer than 10.0 million | 3.89% | -0.11% | -0.11% | -2.40% |
| At least 10.0 million, but fewer than 12.5 million | 3.56% | -0.44% | -0.44% | -1.73% |
| At least 12.5 million, but fewer than 15.0 million | 3.00% | 0% | 0% | -1.43% |
| 15.0 million or more | 4.44% | -0.56% | -0.56% | -1.42% |