How many transit calls will the Panama Canal have between and including 1 April 2025 and 30 June 2025, according to the IMF?
Closing Jul 1, 2025 07:01AM (in 4 months)
After two years of El Nino-induced drought greatly limited transit capacity in the Panama Canal, traffic through the critical passageway is recovering as the Trump administration has raised concerns over Chinese influence (CNBC, AP, CBS News). The question will be suspended on 30 June 2025 and the outcome determined using data as reported by the IMF's PortWatch (IMF PortWatch, see "Transit Calls" chart, which includes export options; add the "Number of Cargo Ships" to the "Number of Tanker Ships"). Between and including 1 April 2024 and 30 June 2024, the Panama Canal had 2,127 transit calls, down from 2,870 over the same period in 2023.
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 1,900 | 0.90% | 0% | +0.30% | -8.70% |
| At least 1,900, but fewer than 2,100 | 1.40% | 0% | +0.30% | -6.70% |
| At least 2,100, but fewer than 2,300 | 5.40% | 0% | -9.80% | -20.80% |
| At least 2,300, but fewer than 2,500 | 8.20% | 0% | -7.30% | -23.40% |
| At least 2,500, but fewer than 2,700 | 11.10% | 0% | -0.90% | +1.30% |
| At least 2,700, but fewer than 2,900 | 49.40% | 0% | +22.20% | +46.50% |
| At least 2,900, but fewer than 3,100 | 20.30% | 0% | +2.70% | +18.20% |
| 3,100 or more | 3.30% | 0% | -7.50% | -6.40% |