Will Wisconsin voters approve a state constitutional amendment requiring photo identification to vote?

Started Feb 14, 2025 06:00PM
Closed Apr 1, 2025 07:01AM (2 days ago)

While Wisconsin law currently requires voters to have valid photo identification to vote, the state legislature has referred a ballot measure, scheduled to be voted upon on 1 April 2025, that would enshrine that requirement in the constitution (Ballotpedia, AP). As of the launch of this question, Wisconsin state constitutional amendments require a simple majority for approval (Wisconsin Constitution - Article XII). The question will close as of the holding of a vote on a state constitutional amendment requiring photo identification to vote or an official announcement that the currently proposed amendment will not appear on the ballot.

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 1 April 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 93%
No 7%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 36
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 126
Number of Forecasts 82
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 291
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.050163
3.
-0.050163
4.
-0.050163
5.
-0.048315

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - Feb 14, 2025 11:14AM PST (46 days before close, question was 0% complete)
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