Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will the Democratic Party win control of the US House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections?

Started Feb 21, 2025 06:00PM
Closing Nov 5, 2026 08:01AM (in 2 years)

All 435 seats in the US House of Representatives are up for election in 2026, with Republicans hoping to maintain control after winning by a very thin margin in 2024 (270 to Win). Elections are scheduled for 3 November 2026 (Ballotpedia). If control is dependent upon a runoff election, the suspend date will be extended to the date of the latest relevant runoff. If control is dependent upon a recount, the question will remain suspended and closed as of 3 November 2026 when the outcome is known.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 60.60% -0.86% -2.72% -3.56%
No 39.40% +0.86% +2.72% +3.56%

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