After previous attempts to sue the Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO) and the Palestinian Authority (PA) for damages related to terrorist attacks in and around Israel failed on jurisdictional grounds, Congress passed the PSJVTA, which purports to solve the issue of personal jurisdiction (Congressional Research Service, Arab Center Washington DC, Cornell - Personal Jurisdiction). The district court ruled that the PSJVTA's attempt to deem the PLO as having consented to jurisdiction violated the due process clause of the Fifth Amendment, and the Second Circuit agreed (Oyez, Second Circuit Decision, Reuters). The Supreme Court consolidated Fuld v. PLO and US v. PLO for consideration, the latter being different litigation over the same issue. The Supreme Court is expected to hand down its decision in its 2024 term, but if it does not, the question will close as "No." If the Court decides these cases without addressing this question's particular issue of law, the question will close as "No."

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.