What will be the US annual real GDP growth rate for the second quarter of 2025?
Started
Feb 26, 2025 05:00PM
Closing Jul 1, 2025 07:01AM (in 3 months)
Closing Jul 1, 2025 07:01AM (in 3 months)
The question will be suspended on 30 June 2025 and the outcome determined using quarterly data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) as first reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data database (FRED), expected in late July 2025 (FRED, BEA - Release Schedule). As of the launch of this question, the real GDP growth rate for the second quarter of 2024 was 3.0%.
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Down by more than 1.0% | 9.90% | +0.35% | +3.45% | -3.40% |
| Down by more than 0.0% but at most 1.0% | 15.50% | +2.15% | +6.25% | +3.20% |
| Up by at least 0.0%, but less than 1.0% | 22.65% | -1.15% | +3.15% | +4.35% |
| Up by at least 1.0%, but less than 2.0% | 31.40% | -3.25% | -1.15% | +7.50% |
| Up by at least 2.0%, but less than 3.0% | 13.95% | -0.10% | -10.45% | -8.45% |
| Up by at least 3.0%, but less than 4.0% | 3.95% | +0.40% | -2.60% | -1.05% |
| Up by 4.0% or more | 2.65% | +1.60% | +1.35% | -2.15% |