What will be the yield for US 10-year Treasury securities on 30 June 2025?
Started
Feb 26, 2025 05:00PM
Closing Jun 30, 2025 07:01AM (in 3 months)
Closing Jun 30, 2025 07:01AM (in 3 months)
The yield (or interest rate) of the 10-year Treasury is a major benchmark for finance in the US (Investopedia). The question will be suspended on 29 June 2025 and the outcome determined using US Treasury data as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database (FRED). On 28 June 2024, the yield was 4.36%.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 3.00% | 2.00% | 0% | +1.00% | +2.00% |
| At least 3.00%, but less than 3.30% | 3.00% | 0% | +1.00% | +2.90% |
| At least 3.30%, but less than 3.60% | 6.00% | -1.00% | -3.00% | +4.70% |
| At least 3.60%, but less than 3.90% | 20.00% | 0% | +12.00% | +15.80% |
| At least 3.90%, but less than 4.20% | 33.00% | 0% | +9.00% | +6.60% |
| At least 4.20%, but less than 4.50% | 26.00% | +1.00% | -9.00% | -12.10% |
| At least 4.50%, but less than 4.80% | 7.00% | 0% | -8.00% | -14.00% |
| At least 4.80%, but less than 5.10% | 3.00% | 0% | -2.00% | -3.90% |
| At least 5.10%, but less than 5.40% | 0% | 0% | -1.00% | -1.40% |
| At least 5.40%, but less than 5.70% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -0.40% |
| 5.70% or more | 0% | 0% | 0% | -0.20% |