What will be the spread between the US 10-year Treasury yield and the 2-year Treasury yield on 30 June 2025?
Started
Feb 26, 2025 05:00PM
Closing Jun 30, 2025 07:01AM (in 3 months)
Closing Jun 30, 2025 07:01AM (in 3 months)
The difference between interest rates on longer-term debt and shorter-term debt have been used historically to forecast, among other things, the rate of economic growth (Investopedia - Yield Curve). The question will be suspended on 29 June 2025 and the outcome determined using US Treasury Department data as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database for "10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity" (FRED). For 28 June 2024, the spread was -0.35%.
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -0.40% or lower | 0.75% | -0.19% | -0.25% | -2.95% |
| Higher than -0.40%, but at most -0.20% | 1.31% | -0.69% | -2.69% | -8.69% |
| Higher than -0.20%, but at most 0.00% | 9.25% | -0.88% | +0.25% | -11.05% |
| Higher than 0.00%, but at most 0.20% | 16.63% | -1.43% | -2.37% | +1.13% |
| Higher than 0.20%, but at most 0.40% | 33.31% | -1.50% | -8.69% | +17.31% |
| Higher than 0.40%, but at most 0.60% | 18.44% | 0% | +3.44% | -8.06% |
| Higher than 0.60%, but at most 0.80% | 6.94% | +2.25% | +4.94% | +2.64% |
| Higher than 0.80%, but at most 1.00% | 4.06% | +1.06% | +3.06% | +2.56% |
| Higher than 1.00% | 9.31% | +1.37% | +2.31% | +7.11% |