Kinnaj asks:
Will Friedrich Merz be sworn in as chancellor of Germany before 3 May 2025?
Started
Feb 28, 2025 03:00PM
Closing May 3, 2025 07:01AM (in a month)
Closing May 3, 2025 07:01AM (in a month)
With his CDU/CSU alliance coming in first in federal elections on 23 February 2025, CDU leader Friedrich Merz has called for a deal on a new government to be reached by Easter (20 April 2025) (ABC News, Anadolu Agency, Guardian). Per German Basic Law Article 63, the chancellor is elected by the Bundestag and appointed by the president (Federal Ministry of Justice, Deutscheland.de).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.