Will the monthly global land and sea temperature anomaly reach or exceed 1.50°C in 2025, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)?

Started Feb 28, 2025 03:00PM
Closing Jan 1, 2026 08:01AM (in 9 months)
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Recorded global surface temperatures have risen steadily over the past decades (World Meteorological Society). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2025 if still open and the outcome determined using data published by NOAA, expected in January 2026 (NOAA, click "Download" for all data with the site's default settings [Monthly, Global, Land and Ocean, and CSV]). The data for a month as first reported will count, and subsequent revisions to past months are immaterial. As of the launch of this question, the highest reported anomaly was 1.44°C in September 2023.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 47.63% +3.23% +1.34% +7.06%
No 52.38% -3.22% -1.33% -7.05%

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