How many of the "1 seed" teams will reach the Final Four in the 2025 Men's NCAA Tournament?

Started Mar 18, 2025 04:30PM
Closed Mar 30, 2025 07:01AM (3 days ago)

Aside from the losers of the four play-in games (known as the "First Four"), the NCAA Tournament includes 64 teams spread across four regions with 16 teams each, in which each team is ranked (or seeded) from 1 to 16 (NCAA). Only once in history has a Final Four included all four 1 seeds, and only five times has a Final Four included three 1 seeds (NCAA). The makeup of the Men's Final Four is scheduled to be determined on 30 March 2025 (ESPN - Bracket). The four 1 seed teams are Auburn, Duke, Florida, and Houston.

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The question closed "4" with a closing date of 30 March 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
None 1%
1 6%
2 38%
3 37%
4 18%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 51
Average for questions in their first 4 weeks: 89
Number of Forecasts 122
Average for questions in their first 4 weeks: 158
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.339833
2.
-0.293654
3.
-0.248558
4.
-0.216635
5.
-0.204071

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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