How many of the "1 seed" teams will reach the Final Four in the 2025 Women's NCAA Tournament?

Started Mar 18, 2025 04:30PM
Closed Mar 31, 2025 07:01AM (4 days ago)

Aside from the losers of the four play-in games (known as the "First Four"), the NCAA Tournament includes 64 teams spread across four regions with 16 teams each, in which each team is ranked (or seeded) from 1 to 16 (NCAA). The Women's Final Four has included all four 1 seeds four times in the past (NCAA). The makeup of the Women's Final Four is scheduled to be determined on 31 March 2025 (ESPN - Bracket). The four 1 seed teams are South Carolina, Texas, UCLA, and USC.

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The question closed "3" with a closing date of 31 March 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
None 1%
1 4%
2 23%
3 49%
4 23%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 34
Average for questions in their first 4 weeks: 89
Number of Forecasts 87
Average for questions in their first 4 weeks: 158
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.366169
2.
-0.361369
3.
-0.2856
4.
-0.271446
5.
-0.185985

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - Mar 29, 2025 7:52PM PDT (2 days before close, question was 85% complete)
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