What will be the closing yield for German 10-year Bunds (bonds) on 19 September 2025?
Started
Mar 21, 2025 05:00PM
Closing Sep 19, 2025 07:01AM (in 6 months)
Closing Sep 19, 2025 07:01AM (in 6 months)
Challenges
The yield (or interest rate) for 10-year German Bunds jumped in March 2025 as government coalition talks led to a plan for a constitutional change to the country's "debt brake" (Deutsche Welle, MSN [Reuters], CNBC). The question will be suspended on 18 September 2025 and the outcome determined using data as reported by Trading Economics (Trading Economics, set to "6M"). On 14 March 2025, the yield was 2.873%.
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week |
|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 2.00% | 1.30% | 0% | +0.30% |
| At least 2.00%, but less than 2.25% | 5.80% | 0% | -7.20% |
| At least 2.25%, but less than 2.50% | 16.90% | 0% | -13.10% |
| At least 2.50%, but less than 2.75% | 33.60% | 0% | +3.60% |
| At least 2.75%, but less than 3.00% | 21.00% | 0% | +7.00% |
| At least 3.00%, but less than 3.25% | 15.90% | 0% | +6.90% |
| At least 3.25%, but less than 3.50% | 3.80% | 0% | +2.80% |
| At least 3.50%, but less than 3.75% | 0.90% | 0% | -0.10% |
| 3.75% or more | 0.80% | 0% | -0.20% |