What will be the value of the monthly US Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) Index for November 2025?
Started
Mar 21, 2025 05:00PM
Closing Dec 1, 2025 08:01AM (in 8 months)
Closing Dec 1, 2025 08:01AM (in 8 months)
Challenges
Uncertainty surrounding policies coming out of the new Trump administration have taken a toll on economic outlooks for the US and elsewhere (NPR, MSN [Reuters]). The question will be suspended on 30 November 2025 and the outcome determined using Economic Policy Uncertainty Index data for the US as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data database (FRED) (FRED). As of the launch of this question, the index value for November 2024 was 162.50269.
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week |
|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 120.0 | 1.13% | 0% | -11.37% |
| At least 120.0, but less than 160.0 | 4.13% | 0% | -8.37% |
| At least 160.0, but less than 200.0 | 21.63% | 0% | +9.13% |
| At least 200.0, but less than 240.0 | 38.88% | 0% | +26.38% |
| At least 240.0, but less than 280.0 | 20.25% | 0% | +7.75% |
| At least 280.0, but less than 320.0 | 7.13% | 0% | -5.37% |
| At least 320.0, but less than 360.0 | 3.50% | 0% | -9.00% |
| 360.0 or higher | 3.38% | 0% | -9.12% |