How many House of Commons seats will the Conservative Party win in the 2025 Canadian general election?
Started
Mar 25, 2025 04:00PM
Closing Apr 28, 2025 07:01AM (in a month)
Closing Apr 28, 2025 07:01AM (in a month)
Challenges
Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney, through Governor General Mary Simon, called new parliamentary elections scheduled for 28 April 2025 (BBC, CNN). If there is any ambiguity as to the outcome, the question will close using officially announced results of the election, irrespective of any judicial intervention. If the election is postponed, the closing date will be adjusted accordingly.
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours |
|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 104 | 4.80% | -0.50% |
| Between 104 and 120 | 14.40% | 0% |
| Between 121 and 137 | 38.40% | +0.50% |
| Between 138 and 154 | 31.90% | 0% |
| Between 155 and 171 | 3.30% | 0% |
| Between 172 and 188 | 6.40% | 0% |
| 189 or more | 0.80% | 0% |