Will the yield for US 10-year Treasury securities be higher on 3 April 2025 than the yield on 1 April 2025?
Started
Mar 26, 2025 02:00PM
Closing Apr 2, 2025 07:01AM (in 2 days)
Closing Apr 2, 2025 07:01AM (in 2 days)
Challenges
President Trump has labeled 2 April 2025 as "Liberation Day," when his administration is expected to announce a series of new tariffs on various US trading partners (NBC News, Yahoo [Bloomberg]). The question will be suspended on 1 April 2025 and the outcome determined using US Treasury data as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database (FRED).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.