For which month will the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) next report 6.5 million or fewer job openings in the US?

Started Apr 4, 2025 05:00PM
Closing Jan 1, 2026 08:01AM (in 8 months)

The number of job openings in the US has continued to come down from post-COVID highs, but they remain elevated despite high interest rates and policy uncertainties (AOL, Yahoo [Reuters]). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2025 if still open and the outcome determined using BLS data as first reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database (FRED, BLS - JOLTS Release Schedule). As of the launch of this question, the total number of job openings reported for December 2024 was 7,508 (in thousands), or 7.508 million. Subsequent revisions will be immaterial.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week
Between April 2025 and June 2025 21.50% -1.30% -2.30%
Between July 2025 and September 2025 19.80% +1.60% +0.10%
Between October 2025 and December 2025 16.30% -0.40% +1.10%
Not before January 2026 42.40% +0.10% +1.10%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username