What will be the midpoint of the US federal funds target range at the end of 2025?
Started
Apr 4, 2025 05:00PM
Closing Dec 31, 2025 08:01AM (in 9 months)
Closing Dec 31, 2025 08:01AM (in 9 months)
Challenges
The question will be suspended on 31 December 2025 and the outcome determined using the midpoint of the latest federal funds target range. As of 4 April 2025, the target range was set at 4.25% to 4.50%, so the midpoint was 4.375% (Federal Reserve - FOMC Statement 19 March 2025). The Federal Open Market Committee releases quarterly projections on the midpoint of the federal funds target range (Federal Reserve, see "Projection Materials").
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week |
|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 2.75% | 0.78% | 0% | -0.10% |
| At least 2.75%, but less than 3.00% | 0.89% | -0.22% | -0.11% |
| At least 3.00%, but less than 3.25% | 7.78% | -0.55% | +1.53% |
| At least 3.25%, but less than 3.50% | 17.22% | -0.78% | +2.84% |
| At least 3.50%, but less than 3.75% | 23.78% | +0.67% | +2.03% |
| At least 3.75%, but less than 4.00% | 26.22% | +0.44% | -5.16% |
| At least 4.00%, but less than 4.25% | 7.22% | +0.44% | +0.97% |
| At least 4.25%, but less than 4.50% | 11.67% | 0% | -1.46% |
| 4.50% or more | 4.44% | 0% | -0.56% |