When will the average daily crude oil production by Venezuela fall below 750 thousand barrels per day (tb/d) for a month?

Started Apr 4, 2025 05:00PM
Closing Jan 1, 2026 08:01AM (in 9 months)

The US has stepped up pressure on Venezuela's oil industry, including the imposition of 25% tariffs on countries that import oil from Venezuela (CNBC, MSN [Reuters], Oil Price, Center on Global Energy Policy). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2025 if still open and the outcome determined using data for "Venezuela" as reported in the "DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d" table of the "World Oil Supply" section of OPEC's Monthly Oil Market Reports (MOMRs) (OPEC). The data for a month as first reported will count, and subsequent revisions to past months are immaterial. The average daily crude oil production by Venezuela in February 2025 was 918 tb/d (OPEC - MOMR March 2025, see Table 5 - 7 on page 56).

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours
Between April 2025 and June 2025 12.13% -1.87%
Between July 2025 and September 2025 48.13% +1.88%
Between October 2025 and December 2025 13.75% 0%
Not before 2026 26.00% 0%

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