Autocorrelation asks:
How many named tropical cyclones will occur in the Atlantic Ocean in the 2025 hurricane season, according to the National Hurricane Center?
Closing Dec 1, 2025 08:01AM (in 7 months)
Researchers at Colorado State University have predicted that the Atlantic hurricane season, which runs from 1 June 2025 to 30 November 2025, "will have above-normal activity" (CBS News, Colorado State University - 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast). The question will be suspended on 30 November 2025 and the outcome determined using categorizations provided by the National Hurricane Center no later than 16 December 2025 (National Hurricane Center, National Hurricane Center - Reports). In 2024, there were 18 named storms.
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 or fewer | 2.00% | 0% | +1.00% |
| Between 9 and 12 | 11.00% | -0.10% | +3.00% |
| Between 13 and 16 | 31.10% | +0.60% | +2.10% |
| Between 17 and 20 | 35.70% | +0.20% | -1.30% |
| Between 21 and 24 | 16.50% | -0.40% | -2.50% |
| Between 25 and 28 | 2.80% | -0.30% | -2.20% |
| 29 or more | 0.90% | 0% | -0.10% |