What will be the value of US exports to China in the second quarter (April, May, and June) of 2025?

Started Apr 11, 2025 05:00PM
Closing Jul 1, 2025 07:01AM (in 2 months)

Trade tensions between the US and China have continued to escalate since the beginning of President Trump's second term (BBC, MSN [Wall Street Journal]). The question will be suspended on 30 June 2025 and the outcome determined using data as reported by the US Census Bureau once data for June 2025 are first reported (Census Bureau). In the second quarter of 2024, the value of US exports to China was $33,901.1 million, or $33.9011 billion.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week
Less than $14 billion 27.00% -1.00% +5.33%
At least $14 billion, but less than $18 billion 13.00% -3.00% -18.33%
At least $18 billion, but less than $22 billion 14.00% -4.00% -9.33%
At least $22 billion, but less than $26 billion 26.00% +4.00% +9.33%
At least $26 billion, but less than $30 billion 14.00% +3.00% +7.00%
At least $30 billion, but less than $34 billion 4.00% +1.00% +4.00%
At least $34 billion, but less than $38 billion 2.00% 0% +2.00%
$38 billion or more 0% 0% 0%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username