The CFA Society Los Angeles asks
What percentage of U.S. equity funds will be outperformed by the S&P Composite 1500 index for the one-year period ending 30 June 2017?
Started
Mar 14, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2017 06:59AM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2017 06:59AM UTC
47.51% of U.S Equities were outperformed by the S&P Composite Index This question closed as "a) less than 50%", with an end date of 1 July 2017.
Outcome will be determined according to the S&P Dow Jones Indices' SPIVA U.S. Mid-Year 2017 Scorecard, typically published in September. For the one-year period ending 30 June 2016, 90.20% of U.S. equity funds were outperformed by the S&P Composite 1500 index. The relevant figure for 2016 can be found on page 4 of the SPIVA U.S. Mid-Year 2016 Scorecard, Report 1, row 1 labeled "all domestic funds" (S&P Dow Jones Indices). Published reports can be found here.
*S&P Dow Jones Indices is not affiliated with Good Judgment Open or the CFA Society L.A. Finance & Economics forecasting challenge.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Less than 50% | 0% | |
Between 50% and 70%, inclusive | 20% | |
More than 70% but less than 90% | 70% | |
90% or more | 10% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 177 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
Number of Forecasts | 417 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |