Before 1 July 2018, will a date be set for a referendum on Northern Ireland's governance status?
Started
Mar 21, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC
During the U.K. Brexit referendum, a majority of Northern Irish voted to remain in the EU (Newsweek). The United Kingdom's planned exit from the European Union, and Sinn Fein's strong showing in the recent election, has intensified the issue of Northern Ireland's governance status (Irish News, Financial Times). The 1998 Good Friday Agreement gives Northern Ireland the right to hold a referendum, or "border poll" on unification with Ireland, and some have floated the idea of an independence referendum (BBC).
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This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 July 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 July 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
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Yes | 0% | |
No | 100.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 319 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
Number of Forecasts | 1597 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | worse than average |