The Economist asks
Will Uhuru Kenyatta win Kenya’s August 2017 presidential election?
Started
Apr 04, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 08, 2017 06:59AM UTC
Closed Aug 08, 2017 06:59AM UTC
Challenges
Uhuru Kenyatta will seek re-election in August 2017 (The Economist, Bloomberg). In the event that a run-off election is required, the end date of the question will be extended.
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Recommended Questions: Will Turkey's upcoming constitutional referendum pass? Will Angela Merkel be elected as chancellor of Germany after the 2017 Bundestag election? Before 1 July 2017, will a date be set for early general elections in the United Kingdom? Uhuru Kenyatta was declared the winner of Kenya's 2017 election. This question closed on "a) yes," with and end date of 11 August 2017 See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Recommended Questions: Will Turkey's upcoming constitutional referendum pass? Will Angela Merkel be elected as chancellor of Germany after the 2017 Bundestag election? Before 1 July 2017, will a date be set for early general elections in the United Kingdom? Uhuru Kenyatta was declared the winner of Kenya's 2017 election. This question closed on "a) yes," with and end date of 11 August 2017 See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 80.00% | |
| No | 20.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 167 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 569 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
