Before 1 January 2018, will SpaceX successfully relaunch an orbital-class booster within 24 hours of booster landing?
Started
Apr 14, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2018 07:59AM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2018 07:59AM UTC
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On 30 March 2017, SpaceX succesfully launched the first recycled orbital-class booster, marking the first time in the history of spaceflight that a single booster has been used on two separate missions (CNN, Ars Technica). Elon Musk has stated that his next goal is to turn the booster around for relaunch in 24 hours, a milestone he said could be accomplished before the end of the year (Reuters). A relaunch that occurs within 24 hours of the booster landing, where the second stage of the rocket in the relaunch reaches low Earth orbit, will resolve this question as "Yes", regardless of whether the orbital-class booster lands after the second launch.
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SpaceX did not successfully relaunch an orbital-class booster within 24 hours of booster landing. This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 January 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
SpaceX did not successfully relaunch an orbital-class booster within 24 hours of booster landing. This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 January 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
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Yes | 1.00% | |
No | 99.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 296 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
Number of Forecasts | 708 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |