The Monkey Cage asks
What will Gallup report President Trump's approval rating to be on 1 August 2017?
Started
Apr 28, 2017 05:20PM UTC
Closed Aug 01, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 01, 2017 05:00PM UTC
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Outcome will be determined by the "Gallup Daily" Trump job approval rating (Gallup). Question will be suspended on 1 August 2017 and closed when the data are released the following day.
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According to Gallup, President Trump's approval rating on 1 August was 36%. This question closed as "b) Between 30% and 40%, inclusive", with an end date of 1 August 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
According to Gallup, President Trump's approval rating on 1 August was 36%. This question closed as "b) Between 30% and 40%, inclusive", with an end date of 1 August 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 30% | 0% | |
| Between 30% and 40%, inclusive | 95% | |
| More than 40% but less than 50% | 5% | |
| Between 50% and 60%, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than 60% | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 523 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 1741 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
