The Monkey Cage asks

Before 1 January 2018, will the U.S. Senate expand the scope of matters for which a filibuster cannot be used?

Started Apr 28, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2018 07:59AM UTC

In April 2017, Senate Republicans eliminated the filibuster for the confirmation of Justices of the Supreme Court by changing the rules so that debate on nominees could be ended with a simple majority vote rather than a three-fifths majority (Reuters). The removal of the filibuster to block legislation may be next (NY Times). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
The U.S. Senate did not expand the scope of matters for which a filibuster cannot be used. This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 January 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 5.00%
No 95.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 490
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187
Number of Forecasts 1241
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.051125
2.
-0.050621
3.
-0.050056
4.
-0.048182
5.
-0.048182

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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