The Economist asks

Who will win Iran's May 2017 presidential election?

Started May 02, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed May 20, 2017 05:00PM UTC

Six candidates are in the running for Iran's May 2017 presidential election (BBC, Al-Monitor, The Economist). In the event that a run-off election is required, the end date of the question will be extended. Recommended Questions: Will Moon Jae-in win South Korea's upcoming presidential election? Will Uhuru Kenyatta win Kenya’s August 2017 presidential election? Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
This question was closed as "Hassan Rohani" with an end date of 20 May 2017 (Reuters, Aljazeera). See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Hassan Rohani 99%
Ebrahim Raisi 1%
Mohammad Baguer Ghalibaf 0%
Mostafa Mirsalim 0%
None of the above 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 161
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187
Number of Forecasts 387
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.025817
2.
-0.025517
3.
-0.025072
4.
-0.022161
5.
-0.022161

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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