Will Moon Jae-in win South Korea's upcoming presidential election?
Started
May 02, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed May 09, 2017 06:59AM UTC
Closed May 09, 2017 06:59AM UTC
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South Koreans will go to the polls on 9 May 2017 to elect their new president (NY Times). Moon Jae-in ran for president in 2012, losing narrowly to Park Geun-hye. He is now the presumed front runner (NY Times, Reuters).
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This question was closed as "yes" with an end date of 9 May 2017 (NY Times).
This question was closed as "yes" with an end date of 9 May 2017 (NY Times).
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 98.00% | |
No | 2.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 61 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
Number of Forecasts | 90 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |