Before 2018, will there be a lethal attack on a US military vessel in the Red Sea, Gulf of Aden, Persian Gulf, or Gulf of Oman?
Started
May 23, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2018 07:59AM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2018 07:59AM UTC
Challenges
For the purposes of this question, a lethal attack is one that results in one US fatality. In recent months, the US Navy has had hostile encounters with Iranian naval forces (Newsweek, CNN, The Guardian), and has been attacked by Houthi rebels firing missiles from Yemen (San Diego Union Tribune).
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There was no lethal attack on a US military vessel in the Red Sea, Gulf of Aden, Persian Gulf, or Gulf of Oman. This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 January 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
There was no lethal attack on a US military vessel in the Red Sea, Gulf of Aden, Persian Gulf, or Gulf of Oman. This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 January 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 0% | |
No | 100.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 227 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 186 | |
Number of Forecasts | 869 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 539 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | worse than average |