Before 1 December 2017, will it be announced that Wang Qishan has been elected to another term on the Politburo Standing Committee of the Communist Party of China?

Started Jun 13, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 30, 2017 07:59AM UTC

China's National Congress will meet in autumn 2017 to select leaders for the new term. Wang Qishan has served on the Politburo Standing Committee since 2012 (NY Times 3/2/2017 , Wall Street Journal, NY Times 5/30/2017, China Leadership Monitor ). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
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Wang Qishan was not elected to another term. This questions closed as “b) No,” with and end date of 1 Dec 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 100
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187
Number of Forecasts 637
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.666051
2.
-0.659808
3.
-0.622966
4.
-0.604975
5.
-0.55291

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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