How many countries will Russia remove from its food embargo list before 6 August 2016?
Started
Oct 5, 2015 08:00PM
Closed Aug 5, 2016 05:00PM (9 years ago)
Closed Aug 5, 2016 05:00PM (9 years ago)
Challenges
This question has been closed under answer option "a)0" with an end date of 5 August 2016. Russia extended its food embargo through the end of 2017 (RT, Sputnik International). While there have been modifications to the embargo, notably to allow the importation of certain products for use in baby food (Russia Beyond the Headlines, Tass), all of the embargoed countries remain on the list.
Russia imposed an embargo on food imports from the US, EU member states, Canada, Australia, and Norway in August 2014 as retaliation for western sanctions, later adding Iceland, Albania, Montenegro, and Liechtenstein to the list (Yahoo News). On 16 September 2015, Russia lifted the embargo on specialized products for sports nutrition (LatestNewsResource), but most of the embargo remains in place for all affected countries. If new countries are added to the list before the question expires, their subsequent removal will count.
This question will be scored using the ordered categorial scoring rule. For more information, see the FAQ.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
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0 | 99% | |
Between 1 and 5, inclusive | 1% | |
More than five, but less than all | 0% | |
All | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 421 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 181 | |
Number of Forecasts | 1691 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 528 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
Most Accurate
Relative Brier Score
Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time
- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - Oct 9, 2015 1:53PM PDT (301 days before close, question was 1% complete)