How many countries will Russia remove from its food embargo list before 6 August 2016?

Started Oct 5, 2015 08:00PM
Closed Aug 5, 2016 05:00PM (9 years ago)

This question has been closed under answer option "a)0" with an end date of 5 August 2016. Russia extended its food embargo through the end of 2017 (RT, Sputnik International). While there have been modifications to the embargo, notably to allow the importation of certain products for use in baby food (Russia Beyond the Headlines, Tass), all of the embargoed countries remain on the list. Russia imposed an embargo on food imports from the US, EU member states, Canada, Australia, and Norway in August 2014 as retaliation for western sanctions, later adding Iceland, Albania, Montenegro, and Liechtenstein to the list (Yahoo News). On 16 September 2015, Russia lifted the embargo on specialized products for sports nutrition (LatestNewsResource), but most of the embargo remains in place for all affected countries. If new countries are added to the list before the question expires, their subsequent removal will count. This question will be scored using the ordered categorial scoring rule. For more information, see the FAQ. Recommended Questions Will President Putin meet with Prime Minister Abe in Japan before 1 July 2016? Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 in response to actions taken by Russia before 1 January 2017? Will Vladimir Putin attend the Nuclear Security Summit in Washington, DC, in March 2016?
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
0 99%
Between 1 and 5, inclusive 1%
More than five, but less than all 0%
All 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 421
Average for questions older than 6 months: 181
Number of Forecasts 1691
Average for questions older than 6 months: 528
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.154657
2.
-0.148439
3.
-0.140667
4.
-0.140523
5.
-0.133951

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - Oct 9, 2015 1:53PM PDT (301 days before close, question was 1% complete)
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