Will negotiations on the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) be completed before 1 January 2016?

Started Oct 27, 2015 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2015 11:00PM UTC

RCEP is a regional trade agreement between Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) members and their free trade agreement partners. (http://www.fta.gov.sg/press_release%5CFACTSHEET%20ON%20RCEP_final.pdf ). The completion of the Trans-Pacific Partnership has increased pressure to finalize the deal (http://www.cnbc.com/2015/10/14/tpp-deal-pressures-rcep-trade-talks-in-busan-china-keen-for-progress.html ). Resolution requires that the negotiators reach an agreement. Ratification by the parties to the agreement is not required.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 214
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187
Number of Forecasts 463
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.000111
2.
-0.000111
3.
-0.000111
4.
-0.000111
5.
-0.000111

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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