Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 in response to actions taken by Russia before 1 January 2017?
Started
Nov 3, 2015 08:00PM
Closed Dec 31, 2016 06:00PM (8 years ago)
Closed Dec 31, 2016 06:00PM (8 years ago)
This question was closed on "no" with an end date of 31 December 2016.
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Article 4 was invoked by Turkey in 2015 in response to developments in Syria and by Poland in 2014 in response to developments in Ukraine (The Economist, NATO ). For more information on Article 4 see NATO. NATO has voiced concern about Russia's actions in the Baltics and violations of Turkey's airspace (NY Times, Guardian). Recommended Questions How many countries will Russia remove from its food embargo list before 6 August 2016? Will President Putin meet with Prime Minister Abe in Japan before 1 July 2016? Will Vladimir Putin attend the Nuclear Security Summit in Washington, DC, in March 2016?
Article 4 was invoked by Turkey in 2015 in response to developments in Syria and by Poland in 2014 in response to developments in Ukraine (The Economist, NATO ). For more information on Article 4 see NATO. NATO has voiced concern about Russia's actions in the Baltics and violations of Turkey's airspace (NY Times, Guardian). Recommended Questions How many countries will Russia remove from its food embargo list before 6 August 2016? Will President Putin meet with Prime Minister Abe in Japan before 1 July 2016? Will Vladimir Putin attend the Nuclear Security Summit in Washington, DC, in March 2016?
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | |
| No | 100.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 560 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 181 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 2627 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 528 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
Most Accurate
Relative Brier Score
Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time
- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - Nov 3, 2015 12:00PM PST (424 days before close, question was 0% complete)