Who will win the Republican Party nomination for the US presidential election?
Started
Nov 17, 2015 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 20, 2016 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 20, 2016 06:00PM UTC
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This question was closed with the answer "Donald Trump" on 20 July 2016 with an end date of 19 July 2016. On 19 July 2016, Donald Trump become the official nominee of the Republican party (CNN, Newsweek).
Sign up and enter your own forecast, if you're here for The Economist or Monkey Cage Challenge! As the US primary season approaches, the race for the Republican Party nomination remains tight (The World In 2016).
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Who will win the Democratic Party nomination for the US presidential election?
Sign up and enter your own forecast, if you're here for The Economist or Monkey Cage Challenge! As the US primary season approaches, the race for the Republican Party nomination remains tight (The World In 2016).
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Who will win the Democratic Party nomination for the US presidential election?| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
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| Jeb Bush | 0% | |
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| Carly Fiorina | 0% | |
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| Donald Trump | 100% | |
| None of the above | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 3092 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 189 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 10612 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 545 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
