Fareed Zakaria GPS asks
Will Bashar al-Assad cease to be president of Syria before 1 January 2019?
Started
Dec 15, 2017 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2019 07:59AM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2019 07:59AM UTC
Challenges
Syrian President Bashar al-Assad still holds power despite a civil war that has lasted years and caused much destruction (BBC, CNN).
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Bashar al Assad remained in power at the question's end date. This question closed as "No" on 12/31/2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Bashar al Assad remained in power at the question's end date. This question closed as "No" on 12/31/2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 5.00% | |
No | 95.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 4101 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
Number of Forecasts | 6035 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |