Will China conduct naval exercises with any ASEAN member before 1 June 2016?
Started
Nov 24, 2015 06:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 21, 2016 01:00AM UTC
Closed Feb 21, 2016 01:00AM UTC
Tabletop exercises, war games, and simulations will not suffice to resolve the question. China's defense minister has expressed interest in holding joint naval exercises with members of the Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN) amidst heightened tensions in the South China Sea; at least one ASEAN member government has welcomed the proposal (Reuters, CFR, NYTimes).
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 96.00% | |
No | 4.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 340 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 189 | |
Number of Forecasts | 819 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 545 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |