What will be the average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances in the U.S. for the week ending June 22?
Started
May 16, 2018 06:30PM UTC
Closed Jun 22, 2018 06:59AM UTC
Closed Jun 22, 2018 06:59AM UTC
Tags
Outcome will be determined by data from the Mortgage Bankers Association Weekly Applications Survey press release, generally published five days after the week's end by the Mortgage Bankers Association. For historical data, see: Trading Economics.
This question closed as "b) Between 4.75% and 4.85% inclusive" with an end date of 22 June 2018 (Mortgage Bankers Association). See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated
This question closed as "b) Between 4.75% and 4.85% inclusive" with an end date of 22 June 2018 (Mortgage Bankers Association). See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 4.75% | 0% | |
| Between 4.75% and 4.85%, inclusive | 99% | |
| More than 4.85% but less than 4.95% | 1% | |
| Between 4.95% and 5.05%, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than 5.05% | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 37 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 187 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 115 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 542 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
