Before April 2016, will the French Army or Foreign Legion deploy combat troops to fight the Islamic State on the ground in Syria or Iraq?

Started Dec 08, 2015 06:32PM UTC
Closed Mar 31, 2016 09:00PM UTC
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 2.00%
No 98.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 749
Average for questions older than 6 months: 190
Number of Forecasts 1838
Average for questions older than 6 months: 548
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.065696
2.
-0.065696
3.
-0.065676
4.
-0.065517
5.
-0.05938

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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