2022 Long-term Vehicle Innovations Challenge

The auto industry is in the midst of a dramatic transformation: from total reliance on internal combustion engines to growing acceptance of electric vehicles; from driven to driverless cars; from vehicle ownership to vehicle sharing and pay-for-usage ride-hailing -- and everything in between.

The Program on Vehicle and Mobility Innovation (PVMI) at the Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, in collaboration with Wharton’s Mack Institute for Innovation Management, brings you the next iteration of a forecasting competition focused on the shifts -- both seismic and incremental -- that are shaping the future of the automotive industry. As with the other challenges, the 2022 Long-term Vehicle Innovations Challenge will track developments in technology, automaker strategies, the competitive landscape, and the regulatory environment to inform forecasters about these new issues while involving them in a global crowd-sourced effort to anticipate the trajectory of an industry in upheaval.

While the 2020 Vehicle Innovations Challenge explores more near-term questions, the 2022 Long-term Vehicle Innovations Challenge investigates long-term questions resolving by end of 2022. Forecasting on this challenge will remain open through 30 June 2021.